HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER JOCKEY OR FM SP F A C V M PICK; 7 Feb 2023: MARKET RASEN: 1:45: 2: CEDAR ROW 100: In horse racing these skill levels are known as class. ?--or is this available in november? Maidens typically improve in its second life time start. . However, if its first race back has been stressful (dueled with It really is that simply. fail in any one area, toss them out. type of race generally puts an emphasis on late speed in a race. individual. type. In , By Ray Wallin Just about 90% of people fail to reach their strategic goals. Connections suddenly willing to acknowledge their horse is worth less money than it was last time it raced are giving a signal that, in general,says one of two things; Were now seriously after the purse winnings in todays race, or. Basic will show standard stats figures such as wins, runs, strike rate, A/E and profit. Travellers, In Form Trainer Only claiming, optional claiming, and maiden claining races considered withthe stipulation that maiden claiming races with more than 1 first-time-starter, or1 first time starter with final odds or morning line odds of 4-1 or lower will be passed. Two of which etc..). Maidens & Koulds Read through all the free materials on this site - then check out: our products . Usually, whatever malady sent it to the sidelines has been corrected e.g.To find the best Trainer and Jockey combination today click All MeetingsIf there are meetings on turf and all weather and you want to find the best combination on turf click Turf MeetingsIf you want to find the best combination at a specific meeting then click the name of the RacecourseIf you want to find the best combination in a specific race click the Race Time. When a horse is entered in a specific claiming race for a certain price, the owner and trainer are stating what they believe the horse is worth. Heres an example of how a class drop in claiming races works. Horse Handicapping | Horse Racing Handicapping, (by the simple definition given earlier) =. Horses which won last time out on either flat turf or all weather surface. -. today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. Please confirm A dropped head is a sign your horse is relaxed and feeling good, and his ears will often hang to the side as well. Ratio of sires All Weather A/E to Turf A/E. Why Should You Look at Horses Who are Dropped in Class. The trainer decides that a class drop is in order and enters the horse in a $10,000 race. Conn [email protected], Introduction With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in today's race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at today's race class level. ALSO I TEND ELIMINATE A HORSE WHO QUIT EVERY RACE IN THE FORM PLUS A VERY BAD POST OUTSIDE. Elevated. I USE THE 30 DAY RULE OR IGNORE THIS IF PAYOFFS ARE HIGH. Thats the way trainer Brian Lynch is , By Richard Rosenblatt Hes a Hall of Famer, and one of the most well-respected trainers in the business ever. today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. e.g. An interesting twist to the class drop is one that Ive noticed, but never kept any records. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Today's Grade Droppers Biggest drop in prize money from last start Horse Name Race Details Drop in $ Drop in % 4. Especially if it is a claimer race because the trainer risks losing the horse in a claim. Sometimes we tend to overlook the obvious. speed where it can lay close to the pace (within three lengths at the first call). For that reason, many punters like to bet on horses who have dropped in class. SO I DOUBLE UP ON THIS PRICE IF AVAILABLE AT POST TIME OR IF THE MORNING LINE WAS ABOUT 9/2 AND THE POST IS NOT THE FAR OUTSIDE. HERES HOW IT GOES ;; Check our Bovada racebook review, Twinspires review or even our Betamerica review. Nobody gives anything away at the racetrack. View stats for trainer and jockey combinations, hot and cold trainers, horses changing in class and much more. All Rights Reserved. This is called the Lst They have had sufficient time to prove their ability. Stats, Trainer Flat Differential Columns We at UK Horse Racing think not. And that is the horse who was dropping in its last race from the penultimate race (and lost), but today is coming back at the same level as last [e.g., todays race is claiming $12,500; last race is also $12,500; but the race before that is $16,000]. To find out more about horse racing stats such as: number of winners, strike rates, and profit please read our Horse Racing Stats Guide. Travellers, In Form Trainer First Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. With the . Horse Handicapping Articles (click to view/read) Making a Betting Line Success And Luck Turn Time - the hidden fraction Track Specific Spot Plays She finished seventh, beaten by 13 lengths. Take, for example, Bella Campari, who was haltered for $5,000 in a race featuring a $28,000 purse on Oct. 9, 2016, and was running for a $7,500 tag and $20,000 purse three weeks later. Betting class will also help you to eliminate horses from contention. Movers, 1st Time Just outside the top tier of horses in the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds is Zozos (39-1), whose owners, Barry and Joni Butzow, hail from Minnesota. Cls Now of course, there are almost always more than one class dropper in a race, so this factor wont just give you the winner, but it will sure help you to focus on the most likely contenders in these claiming type races. Stats, Longest This is extremely good handicapping information to have at Subscribers can visit the Races-Search Runners page or one of the BetTurtle race cards. More Racing StatsFlatStats has dozens of stats for you to view such as stats for first time geldings, change of trainer, sires on soft ground and much more. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Newcastle. He is listed as xB. Frm However; after 26 years in the game, I've concluded one thing: Race betting can be a whole lot simpler than some "experts" try to make it out to be. So - when you see a low-odds horse that has become the crowd favorite because of a last-race win or second at lower levels - don't be reticent about betting against it if there are other hard-knocking class droppers in the race. Stats, Trainer National Hunt Many angles (I.e.) class today should be tossed out. Runners, One Runner Horse has won at least one race. I've found that when horses drop down several classes in one fell swoop, more often than not, the drop down isn't big enough. considerable variables involved when trying to decide the outcome of a horse race. I hope, though, that the results will re-enforce in your mind one of the over-riding facts of handicapping and betting horse races: Horses dropping in class win far more than they should. If you are wondering which horses are running today in a different class type? we have you covered. Stats, Trainer National Hunt competition. 2nd race off a Layoff Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. Results, Course Legitimate favorites win races or better. time or speed doesn.t matter may the horse be with vince the prince does anybody ever hear of ben gateman write systems for g.e. A good rule of thumb is to assign a preliminary class rating of half the value of the horses sole win. Sign up to get the latest insights delivered straight to your inbox. bounce factor, which really does exist. Lets take American football as an example. Trying a New Distance or Surface Today Both bring a temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. Youll receive free past performances, a nice bonus, and more when you sign up today! Stats, Trainer Stats, Tipping Hall of We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. Age For Latest News Visit Our Facebook . Win Rate: 17.5%. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Wolverhampton. Toss it. $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 ( -24.53%) Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. 1] FIND ALL HORSES WHOSE DROPPING IN CLASS [2CD] RACE BACK TO THE LAST RACE [[AND]] TODAYS CLASS IS LOWER OR EQUAL TO THE CLASS OF THE LAST RACE. The term "classy" is most often applied to horses who run winning races in the higher purse levels at the track, or circuit where they compete - but that doesn't really help. Click the Reset Button to clear existing filters. Betting Gods might be something worth checking out, 2013 - 2023 EzHorseBetting.com. Stats for combination runs. So the question is when do you know when that favorite is going to win? When using your system builder is it currently possible to see past results from these?? It has Run, BetTurtle Horse First - this horse handicapping article will not go into depth on the theory of "class" and what it is, or how to define it. The stats can be viewed in basic or advanced mode and are colour coded so that you can quickly see very good (blue) and very bad (red) stats. Dropping a class may also raise your GPA because it can allow you to spend more time on other classes and raise your grades in them. You can also view tables for horses that have the highest earnings, that are changing in class and even a list of all horses carrying a penalty today. Regr g/d Why not Subscribe Now and view the full stats for today? Handicapped, Class HCP% If a horse that has been competing in higher valued races drops to this level, use caution. A horse is said to be moving up in class (or jumping) when it moves from one set of race conditions to another, such as from maiden special to allowance, or from a claiming race for $25,000 to one for $35,000. Of course, the sample size is wholly insufficient, but the numbers mirror what Ive seen in other too-good-to-be-true scenarios: the win rate goes up, but the odds go down way down. Stats InfoThe stats on this page can be shown in basic or advanced mode. The Digests RCL is an initialism for Race Competition Level, which is simply a number assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. Lacking a Good Activity Pattern I USE THE MOST MONEY WON [LIFETIME] AS MY BET ON TOP IF MORE THAN ONE CONTENDER OF THIS TYPE. Stats, Trainer Flat Horses dropping in class at today's races. Included are; Optional claimers, starter handicaps and allowance races (as well as stakes races) - as opposed to straight claimers (at similar price levels) where the horse can be lost via a claim. This applies to a horse that hasnt won in its last 10 races. 1 in Kentucky Derby Top 10. while false favorites do not. Stl The exception to this rule is turf routes. This Zozos will be their first Kentucky Derby entry after . ]]IN THE LAST RACE ARE CLOSER TO THE WINNER THEN THE 2CD LAST RACE BACKITS A CONTENDER . If not, you can probably skip this one :-) However, it is about emotions and over-arousal . The exception to this rule is the Cards, Search But, like I said, I dont have any statistical evidence that its worthwhile. If you wish to comment or add to this page then please drop us a line at: Think for just a second about how human athletes compete in sports. Suspicious Drop in Class today Runners, Shrewd Trainer Days Seems like I see winning efforts off that 2nd attempt all the time. Past Class can be found in the race header in column 13 titled Past Class. Each stat is displayed in a table and shows the name, profit, or ROI% of the stat. ; Click the Horse filter button. a) Raced with 17 days But it got me wondering? Read more about Sample Size and Confidence Figures. Some of the information is not stat based but shows essential information such as horses dropping in class, or changes in trainer. Stats, One Ride country to country. (R) means that the jockey did not ride the horse LTO and thus is a returning jockey. The horse has been doing well. To refine and discover your own preferred betting angles, why not register an account today with one of our recommended horse betting sites. Runners, Shrewd Trainer c) Any race in which none of the participating horses can run to par for that given Data, 90 Day Tipping ITS BEEN AROUND A LONG TIME. A $32K claimer might be little different than a $25K claimer for instance - while at another track the difference in the "class" of these levels might be significant. The times to play these horses are when the odds are acceptable to offset the risk Basic subscribers have access to the 80:20 rule pointers reports.. The table below includes all the double-digit winners from straight claiming races of 5 to 9 furlongs at the tracks issued by Horse Racing Gold for the week of June, 9th through June, 13th. Your email address will not be published. The best way to bet a drop in class is to find horses that were 1st, 2nd, or 3rd in their most recent race at a higher level. Only horses with at least 5 runs included. Summary Overview, Malcolm's Method For the purposes of handicapping, give this horse a class value of $10,000. Race Ratings, Race Title another horse for a good part of the race), it will not fire in its next start. Lets say a horse achieved its only win in a Maiden Claiming Race for $20,000. Race Competition Level (RCL) for Past Performances. There are some positive things to look for as well. Above Average Edge, Case Studies WinF Table ranked by ratio of place strike rate to win strike rate. Todays Racing Digest race sheets makes handicapping class easy by using a simple number system assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. The question will invariably be posed, how do you evaluate a graduate in terms of class. race. In most cases, their odds line is accurate in determining the race favorite. Trainer, Trainer All Weather If you are really struggling with a class, dropping . Trainer Since the Grade I race is five points higher than a Grade II race, the Grade I race is considered to be one class level stronger than a Grade II race. Easy to deposit & Withdraw. The term is defined as: Like the advantage a big league baseball team would have over a double-A league team. WtD Any horse that drops suspiciously in ALSO THERE WAS NO DATE RULE TO THIS SYSTEM SO YOU CAN MAYBE FACTOR THAN IN OR NOT. coming off a good race (win or in the money finish). Table ranked by earnings. Click here to visit Bovada! Only horses with at least 5 runs and at least 1 place included. Several things would give me pause, starting with the steep drop in class (and purse value) and ending with Tribal Jewels eroding speed rations and subpar recent works, particularly his latest. In the Race Information description at the top of each page we describe how we calculate the class of a race. Guest are limited to viewing 3 items per table. Class Changers. Advanced will also show Expected Wins (SRI) and Archie (chi-squared) statistical figures. 2. If EZ Horse Betting is your preferred approach, there are a few ways you can approach handicapping class. Today's If you, like us, believe that the class of the event is determined by the main attendees then the class is the same. A horse with this type of "form" should clearly be stepped up in class, or at an absolute minimum, kept at the same level. Top 10 rider or a Top 10 trainer and you have a probable favorite in the race, especially if it is TrForm I certainly applaud that kind of research and do some of it myself. Change in class is based on the old race letter classification where there are 11 classes. IF BOTH ARE TIED USE MOST MONEY WON FOR IN THE LIFETIME TOTAL, NOW FOR THE BAD ? To make it easier to compare races run at different tracks the RCL is based on the strength of the race and not necessarily just the class structure and conditions of the race. You can do this by clicking on the sires name on the racecard and looking at his A/E stat at Southwell. So, would you say that that race had the same class or lower than other years? You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racings most reliable betting angles. can undertake with the better-priced horses, knowing that the favorite is going to lose (in these Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt a) Claimers, non-winners of two lifetime. 347. "Horses dropping by 30% or more win 378% of their rightful share of races!". I used to call it the second drop. 33.33%. The best of the best wind up in the National Football League. Healthy horses work out and race. Unlike horses that werent claimed last out, good form is not necessarily a positive for runners sporting a new owner. So, as I said, I'm not going to try and solve this class-handicapping puzzle. If a horse in relatively good form faces weaker competition, it's logical to believe that the lesser competition will enable the horse dropping down to shine. Now, the party`s classification was dropped but the same people turned up. I'll make a few generalized assumptions before showing you some recent figures . Bovada is our favorite pick for USA Bettors! 9. 6. Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. You can make money from EZ Horse Betting with all sorts of angles. Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. This is why one can get the interesting situation of a horse running in Class C race and is dropping is class from the Class D race last week. 03-09-2013, 02:24 PM. Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350 Winners: 1,815 Win Rate: 17.5% $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 (-24.53%). Stl% Ratings, Course Stats By 3]IF MORE THAN ONE PLAY IN A RACE.. THEN TOP HORSE IS THE ONE WITH THE MOST LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT AT THE FINISH!! Ratings, Course Stats By Eclipse Sportswire. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey All information provided by this I am also a keen racehorse owner and have worked in the gambling industry for several years. Runners, Available Data Here are the filters * we use that help us find the list of horses that on average will provide 80% of the winners each day.. At Turfdom, we have come up with a number of proven rules to Wins at the course (all weather track). Cards, Search Differentials Impact Nobody gives anything away at the racetrack. Heres an example. All handicappers that have been in the game for more than a few months know of the class-drop factor. ALSO THE RATE OF WINS IS ONLY 16%, BUT THE AVERAGE PRICE PAYOFF IS ABOUT $11.60 AND AVERAGE LENGTHS IMPROVEMNET WAS 6 1/4 . Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. Being able to correctly assess a horses class will help you determine if it has been entered in a race where it can be competitive. U.S. Horses Dropped in Class Today Here is the full list of racehorses' who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. Learning to spot one of these class angles is sometimes all the handicapping you need to pick a winner. It just goes to show that there are If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the first time it may have worn other head gear previously. Our statistics for horse races are updated regularly and pull in all the racehorses who are dropped in class. Stats for runs within the past 28 days. Today's For the most part, each class receives a number that remains constant. Class drops are just one approach. You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. Never take a short price on an determine if a favorite is vulnerable. Any maiden who has at least six starts and is not dropping in b) Raced within 24 days and a work within eight days With so many different levels at different tracks its often challenging to determine if a horse is moving up in class or down in class in todays race and by how much. Interestingly, Bella was claimed in this race as well and, on Nov. 15, 2016, competed in a $10,000 claiming affair for a $30,000 purse. Movers, 1st Time Not taking odds and favoritism into account as a quick over-all stat class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! Fame, Betting 8. US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any Those stats are eye-popping. There are many tables on this page but each of them are useful for analysing today's races from a stats point of view. But actually its the second attempt at the same class after previously dropping. Another option: Try BETUS! Joanne & Larry Ross 6100 Aumsville Hwy SE Salem, OR 97317 Home: 503-585-3100 Cell: 503-580-6827 Runs Class Changers. We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. If a horse is dramatically dropping in class If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the second time it may have worn other head gear previously. someplace i long for a 6 or 8 for w.o. For example, we decide to throw a party and decide to invite all the Class `A` (female, of course) celebs and we have a cracking time as there`s just us hosting the bash but only Michelle Pfeiffer turns up along with Catherine Zeta-Jones. Copyright 2023 US Racing, All Rights Reserved. Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather [[DOESNT SAY WHAT TO DO ON DISTANCE SWITCHES IN THOSE RACES? Ill comment by saying that it is astounding that you can still get good prices on droppers. Id like to comment on the person with the insight on the 2cd drop down ANGLE. Whether it be from DSLD/ESPA or injury, these techniques presented will make your horse more comfortable and happy. this level. Table ranked by earnings per start. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather Sire must have had 10 wins on AW to be included. IVE STUDIED OVER >>500 OF THESE TYPES RACES,,,,,, Got any racing systems or stats questions?Email: q198 = 'frank';n278 = 'flatstats.co.uk';document.write(''); Enter a word or phrase in the box to search the whole FlatStats site. In this guide we look at horses who have been dropped in class, this means they are running against weaker horses than in their last race. ineffective conditioner. The line maker, employed by the track, is a savvy Join today and instantly access our racing info including: Backing and Laying System Builders Unlimited Stats Unique Horse Racing Ratings, All for just 35 a month or see special offers, Lingfield1:20 1:56 2:31 3:06 3:41 4:16 4:51 Wolverhampton5:30 6:00 6:30 7:00 7:30 8:00 8:30. Trainer, Course Stats By Dropping a class is much better for your GPA than failing a class or getting a C or D in it is because a dropped class does not affect your grade point average. A horse making it's first ever race course debut will have Flat Runs of 0. Runners, One Runner No Speed The only way to make money at the racetrack is to think and act differently than your I want find records of historical winning SP to class of of race rating - Flat & NH do you have these ? It has managed to finish second and third a number of times but cannot seem to manage a win. Course Stats, Latest Jump Figures from flat turf and all weather. involved. 3. Run, BetTurtle Horse We don't use the BHB classifications as this is nothing but a wish on behalf of the BHB on they would want the line-up of the race to be. Last ran figure from the flat turf or all weather only. JOCKEY CHANGE DROPPING MUST BE A SUPERIOR JOCK OR BUG BOY WITH WEIGHT OFF.. LITTLE REGARDED IS WHEN BARN/JOCK MAKE CHOICE OF THIS HORSE I. E. RATHER THAN OTHER HIDES JOCK HAS BEEN ON IN LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES JOCK MAY HAVE BEEN RIDING THREE OTHER HORSES IN THIS RACE BUT HAS MADE CHOICE OF TODAYS MOUNT WATCH THESE AND WATCH YOUR PROFITS GROW!!!! Should a horse fail on any of these rules (even one of them) Easy to grasp the concept, but so obvious that it is often overlooked, or under-valued in relation to other more esoteric factors to be considered in a race. For instance, a Grade I Stakes race for older males is always a 210, a $32,000 claimer for older fillies and mares is always 140. Your email address will not be published. Often, a horse will run well when fresh and How to Figure Horses Dropping in Class After Being Claimed Recently, on the " Homeless Handicappers " Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. CSV Fields, The Differentials Online Sports Betting Goes Live in Louisiana, Top Gifts for Horse Racing Fans & Bettors, Ultimate tips for online horse race betting, nice bonus, and more when you sign up today, Twin Spires Is The Official Betting Partner Of The Breeders Cup, Death of Jockey Megan Taylor at Ashburton Raceway. representation or endorsement of any activities offered by any reviewed racebook or ADW. Some of the tables are basic count stats, such as showing horses with the most Course Wins, whilst some are more complex such as the Sires Turf to All Weather A/E ratio. Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. Spd Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. If they are good players, perhaps they make it to a college team. Theoretically, it will now be facing horses closer to its own skill level. However, also consider this: If that horse was not good enough in a graded stakes, and the trainer took a class drop, there is a reason for it. By Noel Michaels The leading riders at the New York winter meet at Aqueduct are Dylan Davis, Trevor McCarthy, Kendrick Carmouche, and Manny Franco. False favorites abound in chaotic races. Any use of this information in violation of federal, state, provincial or local laws is Race Information No It would be nice if we could come up with a neat way of judging and handicapping for class. ), A Grade I race for older males has an RCL of 210, with Grade II older males receiving a 205. Once we find such a favorite, this is the type of race we We four have such a good time that we decide to do it again next month and to allow Class `B` celebs in as well. Flat Runs will then indicate how many runs they had on flat turf. Welcomes global players. No Recent Victories In pari-mutuel wagering, your competitor is the person sitting next to you. If the trainer doesn't have enough confidence in the horse to keep trying at the higher level races pay . If we want to overcome the track takeout and be successful in our wagering, we need to attack "Blindingly Obvious", Sire & Dam Stats Click here to visit Cafe Casino! If a horse is dramatically dropping in class. You can determine the relationship between any class levels using the RCL; its that easy. Handicapping class levels in horse racing can be difficult for many horse players. Alternatively, you can read the Cafe Casino review first. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. 6. Your email address will not be published. HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER Posted by ginag2 on Jul 24, 2012 in Blog | 7 comments. DAVE HENRY Runners, Available Data Changers, Good Performers Last